Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2025

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 14, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
Julian Strawther has tallied 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Julian Strawther ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Julian Strawther stands to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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