Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 13, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has sunk 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Julian Strawther has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Julian Strawther registers in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
Julian Strawther will likely experience a decrease in productivity across the board in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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