Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 121.2 points per game while on the road ranks best in the league over the last 15 games.
The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
Julian Strawther has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home.

Favors Under

Julian Strawther has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Julian Strawther will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

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