Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 17, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has sunk 59.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 7.0% more than he's converted in all games this season while on the road.
The Nuggets rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
Julian Strawther has converted 93.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 10.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Julian Strawther has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Julian Strawther will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production across the board.

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