Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has made 40.3% of his attempts from downtown this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Julian Strawther has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
Over the last 11 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have averaged 45.9% on field goal attempts (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, creating a favorable matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
Julian Strawther will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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