Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 7:28 PM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Julian Strawther is expected to see a spike in productivity for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Julian Strawther registers in the 11th percentile for field goal proficiency with the home court advantage with a a lackluster 32.1% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Julian Strawther places in the 23rd percentile for playing time, registering a lowly 14.0 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have averaged 121.0 points per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Julian Strawther has successfully made 60.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, placing him in the 13th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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