Julian Strawther Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Julian Strawther

NBA · Player Props

Julian Strawther

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Strawther Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Strawther has attempted 7.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Julian Strawther has sunk 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three over the course of the year.
This matchup is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Thunder are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged the least field goals per game in the NBA against them this year (38.6).
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Julian Strawther measures in the 20th percentile for playing time, totaling a measly 13.2 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league at home this year.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 26.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-most in the NBA).

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