Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has attempted 5.8 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 3rd-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Julian Champagnie has converted 97.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while on the road.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 111.2 points per game as the road team places 8th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 3.9 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, making this a hard matchup.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).
Julian Champagnie will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production across the board.

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