Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has sunk a whopping 41.4% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly more than his 36.0 mark last year.
Relative to last year's 19.9 rate, Julian Champagnie's playing time has spiked this year to 27.9 minutes per game.
The Spurs check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost possessions for the Spurs.
Julian Champagnie has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Julian Champagnie should experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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