Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Julian Champagnie rates in the 87th percentile for three-point shots converted, logging 2.4 per game this year.
The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Sacramento Kings are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 10th-best in the league as the visting team with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Julian Champagnie has made 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 free throws per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 104.7 points per game while playing away from home rates 5th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Spurs are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Julian Champagnie will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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