Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:00 PM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the league (17th percentile).
The Spurs have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are on their home court (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Julian Champagnie ranks in the 9th percentile for shooting efficiency with a feeble 36.5% rate since the start of last season.
The Spurs check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for threes; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (26.1%).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Rockets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.

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