Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has successfully made 2.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's sunk overall this season when playing away from home.
Julian Champagnie has played 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 16.8 higher than he's played in all games this year.
Julian Champagnie has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the NBA (23rd percentile).
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 15.8 points per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a good matchup for offensive productivity.

Favors Under

Julian Champagnie has successfully made a measly 35.4% of his field goals this season, quite a bit lower than his 40.8 rate last season.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the NBA).
Julian Champagnie will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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