Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 24, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has converted 2.7 3-pointers per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's made over the course of the season playing at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on three-pointers (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Suns, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA this year.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Spurs's poor 112.1 points per game measures as the 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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