Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has sunk 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.4 more than he's sunk in all games this season at home.
The 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Spurs.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while at home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Julian Champagnie has sunk 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 6 games at home, 21.9% more than he's made overall this year while playing at home.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a challenging one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have posted the 14th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (25.5%).
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 12.5 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Thunder (maintaining possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).
The matchup against Oklahoma may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home (14th-least in the NBA).

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