Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Julian Champagnie comes in at the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, posting just 1.1 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Julian Champagnie has successfully made a mere 1.9 buckets per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.5 rate last season.
As it relates to scoring, the Spurs's subpar 108.0 points per game comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have snagged 13.4 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Lakers (saving possessions that can create additional chances for offense).
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Julian Champagnie will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player production across the board.