Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (21st percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 40.8% mark, Julian Champagnie's shooting proficiency has been reduced this season to 35.0%.
Julian Champagnie has shot and missed 2.8 attempts from downtown per game over the last 11 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the year when playing on the road.
The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (0.8).
The Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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