Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has made 2.7 three-pointers per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made overall this season at home.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league as the home team this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 18.9 points per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Spurs.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Magic (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions today from facing the slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Magic).
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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