Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has successfully made 2.7 three-pointers per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.1 more than he's made from three overall this season while on his home court.
The Spurs have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
Julian Champagnie has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Julian Champagnie will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 12.1 points per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, making this a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 7thworst in in the league with only 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has grabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense).
The matchup vs. Portland is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game this year when the Trail Blazers are the visiting team (12th-least in the NBA).