Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Julian Champagnie

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Washington Wizards vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Julian Champagnie rates in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 1.1 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to three-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have shot 50.2% on shots from the field (27th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, making this a strong matchup.
The 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
The Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 40.8% rate, Julian Champagnie's shooting effectiveness has tailed off this year to 33.9%.
The Spurs have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Washington Wizards have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Julian Champagnie will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance across the board.

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