Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Julian Champagnie comes in at the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 1.1 fouls per game this year.
The Spurs rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 40.8% rate, Julian Champagnie's scoring prowess has regressed this season to 32.6%.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, struggling to draw fouls.
Julian Champagnie will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production across the board.