Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 8:37 PM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Julian Champagnie lands in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on threes (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, resulting in a good matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 40.8% clip, Julian Champagnie's field goal proficiency has fallen this season to 31.6%.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Julian Champagnie will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower stat production for all stats.