Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has totaled 11.7 points per game over the last 6 games while at home, 4.9 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year at home.
Julian Champagnie has made 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 6 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season playing at home.
Julian Champagnie has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (15th percentile).
The Spurs check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

Julian Champagnie has been on the court for a lowly 13.6 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 18.8 minutes per game last year.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a challenging one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).