Julian Champagnie Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Julian Champagnie

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Julian Champagnie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julian Champagnie has made 54.2% of his treys over the last 5 games, 22.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Julian Champagnie has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (14th percentile).
The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 10.1 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Julian Champagnie places in the 23rd percentile for playing time, putting up just 13.7 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 29.6% on three-pointers (12th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Julian Champagnie will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.