Josh Richardson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has compiled 3.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.1 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Richardson stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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