Josh Richardson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has averaged 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.
Josh Richardson has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Miami Heat.
Josh Richardson should get a boost in performance across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Heat rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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