Josh Richardson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).
Josh Richardson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has put up a measly 0.1 offensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 0.6 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Out of all players in the league, Josh Richardson places in the 91st percentile for technical fouls, totaling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 9th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA playing at home with a mere 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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