Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court.
The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (102.6).
The Celtics have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.
Josh Richardson has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.3 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (89th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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