Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to 3-point shots, the Heat's outstanding 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Richardson has converted 91.7% of his free throw attempts while on his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Josh Richardson comes in at the 89th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 4.3 baskets per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a difficult matchup.
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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