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Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With respect to 3-point shots, the Heat's outstanding 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year.The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).The Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).Josh Richardson has converted 91.7% of his free throw attempts while on his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Josh Richardson comes in at the 89th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year.This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 4.3 baskets per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a difficult matchup.The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
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