Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson slots into the 96th percentile for free-throw prowess with a a very good 95.0% rate this year.
This year, opposing teams have attempted 22.2 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have snagged 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nets (continuing possessions that can bring about further chances for offense).
Josh Richardson figures to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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