Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.
The Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Josh Richardson measures in the 81st percentile for free-throw efficiency while playing at home with a an impressive 88.9% rate this year.
Josh Richardson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player production across the board.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have attempted 25.2 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

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