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Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

Over the last 20 games, the other team has captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson rates in the 94th percentile for free-throw performance with a a remarkable 93.8% rate this year.

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted just 20.1 free throws per game this year (3rd-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Richardson has failed to convert 3.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 76th percentile for misses .

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have totaled 119.0 points per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Lakers, marking this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Josh Richardson is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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