Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has converted 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this season.
The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Magic).
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).
Among all players in the league, Josh Richardson measures in the 93rd percentile for foul-shot efficiency with a a terrific 93.3% rate this year.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
Over the last 12 games, opposing clubs have averaged 38.3% on 3-pointers (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted 26.8 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Magic, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

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