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Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Richardson has converted 58.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.9% more than he's sunk overall this year when playing at home.

Josh Richardson has made 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing at home.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have attempted 20.2 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Richardson has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (94th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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