Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 10:05 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.9% rate of made threes as the road team rates 2nd-highest in the league this year.
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

The Hornets have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Charlotte Hornets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 25.0 free throws per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

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