Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 11:23 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Miami Heat's impressive 109.2 points per game as the home team places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 13 games.
The Heat have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Hornets have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat.
Josh Richardson has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 90.1 mark last season.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 35.7% mark, Josh Richardson's three-point proficiency has diminished this season to 28.0%.
Josh Richardson has committed a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last year.
The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have attempted 24.7 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Hornets, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

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