Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has converted 5.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Compared to last season's 23.0 clip, Josh Richardson's playing time has surged this season to 27.3 minutes per game.
With respect to offense, the Miami Heat's fantastic 125.0 points per game away from home comes in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has averaged 46.1% on shot attempts from the field (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making this a hard matchup.
The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 11.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).
This year, their opposition has attempted 26.1 free throws per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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