Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has made 57.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.7% higher than he's sunk overall this season playing at home.
Josh Richardson has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.
With respect to shooting, the Heat's impressive 123.4 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have totaled 25.0 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.

Favors Under

The Heat rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 28.8 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

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