Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has attempted 8.3 shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.5 rate last season.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged 45.2% on field goals (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, creating a tough matchup.
Josh Richardson has converted a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant increase from his 90.1 mark last season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson slots into the 76th percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.0 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 13.4 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (continuing possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).

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