Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.
This matchup is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Bulls have the home court advantage, opposing teams have tallied the 4th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (84.9).
In comparison to last year's 90.1% rate, Josh Richardson's foul-shot effectiveness has spiked this year to 100.0%.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has converted a measly 25.0% of his 3-point shots this season, a significant dropoff from his 35.7 mark last season.
Josh Richardson has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (78th percentile).
The Heat have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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