Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has attempted 8.0 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 8.5 rate last season.
The Heat check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 7 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged 85.5 field goal attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, branding this as a tough matchup.
In comparison to last year's 90.1% mark, Josh Richardson's foul-shot efficiency has increased this year to 100.0%.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has accumulated 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (79th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (continuing possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

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