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Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against San Antonio is a good one for shots from the field; when the Spurs are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA since the start of last season (48.6%).

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson registers in the 93rd percentile for free-throw prowess when playing at home with a a great 90.4% rate since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Richardson has attempted and missed 2.8 three-pointers per game away from his home court since the start of last season, placing him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 75th percentile for misses on the road.

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson slots into the 81st percentile for technical fouls, totaling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game since the start of last season.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 7thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with only 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Spurs (retaining possessions that can result in added chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Spurs is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game since the start of last season (13th-least in the league).

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