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Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a tough one for field goals; opposing squads have compiled the lowest FG% in the NBA since the start of last season (45.6%).

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Out of all players in the league, Josh Richardson ranks in the 94th percentile for foul-shot ability while playing at home with a a phenomenal 89.2% rate since the start of last season.

This matchup is a hard one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted a mere 21.7 free throws per game when the Grizzlies are playing at home since the start of last season (8th-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Richardson has failed to convert 2.8 attempts from beyond the arc per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 76th percentile for misses on the road.

Josh Richardson has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 11.0 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the league) against the Grizzlies (saving possessions that can produce added chances for offense).

Josh Richardson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

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