Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+108/-132).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Heat's outstanding 12.4 successful threes per game as the road team rates 9th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Washington Wizards are on their home court, opposing teams have shot for the 9th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (35.6%).
Out of all players in the league, Josh Richardson registers in the 94th percentile for foul-shot performance while on the road with a a great 88.9% rate since the start of last season.
This matchup is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted just 22.3 free throws per game when the Wizards are the visiting squad since the start of last season (4th-least in the NBA).
Josh Richardson ought to see a spike in output across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Josh Richardson places in the 23rd percentile for shots made, totaling a lowly 1.0 per game since the start of last season.
The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing teams have nabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (maintaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).

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