Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has successfully made 47.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.4% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a tough one for scoring; their opposition have compiled the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.4%).
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Richardson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 9.9% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 27.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

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