Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should boost possessions for the Pelicans.
Away from home, the Kings have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Richardson has converted 90.1% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Josh Richardson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has shot and missed 2.9 three-point attempts per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.2 rate last year.
This matchup is a good one for field goals; opposing teams have averaged the 2nd-most buckets per game in the league this year (43.9).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 24.7 free throws per game over the last 20 games (8th-most in the league).