Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has sunk 53.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing away from home.
Josh Richardson has successfully made 53.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's sunk overall this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
This matchup is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, their opposition have posted the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (32.4%).

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has accumulated 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 0.2 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 7 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).