Josh Richardson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has made 60.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 24.6% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year away from his home court.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Pelicans.
On their home court, the Warriors have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has accumulated 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road.
The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one; they have given up the 8th-most points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (117.7).
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted an enormous 25.5 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the league).
Josh Richardson will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production across the board.