Josh Richardson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has sunk 41.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 8.6% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season.
With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.
The Suns have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has tallied 39.2 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a good matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Richardson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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