Josh Richardson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 3:48 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to three-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 38.2% rate of successful threes while playing at home rates 4th-best in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Josh Richardson has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (75th percentile).
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 28.7% on threes (14th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Richardson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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