Josh Richardson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Josh Richardson

NBA · Player Props

Josh Richardson

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Richardson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Richardson has posted 2.8 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games: 76th percentile.
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Richardson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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